Performance reports and market commentary
Monthly results with the trader’s comment, market notes and risk analysis from the Algotoria investment team.
2026

Monthly report: September 2026 and third quarter
Classic Diversified returned +35.46% and Classic Stable +10.40% in the third quarter of 2026, after a flat July, a strong August and a choppy September.
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Monthly report: August 2026
Classic Diversified returned +35.40% in August 2026 and Classic Stable +16.68%, as the market broke out of a long period of low volatility.
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Why trend-following strategies go through flat periods
After a strong start to 2026, trend-following gave back gains in a long sideways market. In the seven days to 21 August Classic Diversified returned +46.14%.
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The 19 August 2026 breakout
On 19 August 2026 the market broke out of a months-long range. Classic Diversified returned +20.59% on the day and Classic Stable +13.89%.
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Monthly report: July 2026
Classic Diversified returned −1.39% in July 2026 and Classic Stable −3.36%, in a market without a sustained trend. The comment sets this against the longer record.
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Monthly report: June 2026
Classic Stable returned +5.79% in June 2026 and Classic Diversified −7.24%, while Bitcoin fell. The comment explains how the shape of a move decides the result.
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Monthly report: May 2026
Classic Diversified returned −9.69% in May 2026 and Classic Stable −8.11%, in a fourth month of low volatility that suited trend-following algorithms least.
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Monthly report: April 2026
Classic Diversified returned −7.52% in April 2026 and Classic Stable −10.26%, as low volatility in the crypto market limited the trend-following algorithms.
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Value at risk by strategy: how to read the numbers
What 95% value at risk says about Classic Diversified and Classic Stable over one day, one month and one quarter, and what the measure leaves out.
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Monthly report: March 2026
In a sideways March 2026 Classic Diversified returned −4.45% and Classic Stable −5.53%. For the first quarter they stood at +22.29% and +40.88%.
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Monthly report: February 2026
Classic Diversified returned +5.13% in February 2026 and Classic Stable +16.58%, while Bitcoin returned −14.95% in a third month of ETF outflows.
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Why investors can lose money in a profitable strategy
A strategy can have positive expectancy and controlled drawdowns, yet an investor can still lose money. The cause is usually timing and behaviour, not the model.
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The February 2026 crypto sell-off and why trend-following gained
In the month to 6 February 2026 Classic Stable returned +36.42% and Classic Diversified +17.15%, while Bitcoin returned −24.73%.
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Monthly report: January 2026
Classic Diversified returned +21.73% in January 2026 and Classic Stable +27.91%, in a month when Bitcoin returned −10.15%.
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New trade filters for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana
Two updates to the strategies on the largest assets: a trend direction filter that removes low-quality entries in flat markets, and a profit fixer that protects gains within a period.
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Monthly report: December 2025 and full year
In December 2025 Classic Diversified returned −15.64% and Classic Stable −14.88%. For the year they returned +19.82% and +21.96%, against −6.35% for Bitcoin.
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Monthly report: November 2025
Classic Stable returned +5.17% in November 2025 and Classic Diversified −3.54%, in a month when Bitcoin returned −17.55%.
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Monthly report: October 2025
Classic Stable returned +14.53% in October 2025 and Classic Diversified +13.90%, in a month with a record Bitcoin high and a sharp sell-off.
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The 10 October 2025 crash and the trend-following response
On 10 October 2025 Classic Stable returned +5.80% while Bitcoin returned −7.30%. Over 30 days Classic Stable returned +22.97%.
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Monthly report: September 2025
Classic Diversified returned +0.05% in September 2025 and Classic Stable −4.72%, in a month of low volatility that ended with a breakout in the first days of October.
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Monthly report: August 2025
Classic Stable returned +0.52% in August 2025 and Classic Diversified −1.35%, in a month of low volatility in which Bitcoin returned −6.49%.
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July 2025 rally: year-to-date returns against the market
By 11 July 2025 Classic Diversified was up +29.7% for the year, ahead of Bitcoin at +25.6%, while the BITA Crypto 10 index stood at −3.3%.
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Twelve months to May 2025: the strategies against Bitcoin
In the twelve months to 13 May 2025 Classic Diversified returned +197.90% and Classic Stable +141.59%, against +65.45% for Bitcoin.
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Results for 2024: Classic Diversified and Classic Stable
In 2024 Classic Diversified returned +304.42% and Classic Stable +201.67%, before performance fees. Bitcoin returned +112% over the year.
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Third quarter 2024: Classic Diversified and Classic Stable
In the third quarter of 2024 Classic Diversified returned +22.06% and Classic Stable +17.01%, against +0.88% for Bitcoin.
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The August 2024 sell-off: Classic Stable and Classic Diversified
Over the weekend of 2 to 5 August 2024 Bitcoin returned −12.15%. Classic Stable returned +10.92% and Classic Diversified +9.92%.
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